All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Thursday's top batter prop bets
Shea Langeliers | OVER 0.5 HR (+237)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.74 EV
Rafael Devers | OVER 0.5 RBI (+212)
Projection: 39% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.68 EV
George Springer | OVER 0.5 RBI (+291)
Projection: 31% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.90 EV
Zack Gelof | OVER 0.5 HR (+525)
Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.81 EV
Michael Massey | UNDER 0.5 H (+133)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.08 EV
Thursday's top pitcher prop bets
Brayan Bello | UNDER 3.5 K (+131)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $30.17 EV
Shota Imanaga | OVER 6.5 K (+105)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.30 EV
Slade Cecconi | UNDER 4.5 K (-149)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.14 EV
Trevor Rogers | OVER 4.5 K (+106)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.94 EV
Coleman Crow | OVER 3.5 K (-138)
Projection: 65% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.39 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
Baltimore Orioles Team Total OVER:
The Orioles have gone over this total eight times in their last 10 outings. (+5.70 Units / 46% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -140
Pittsburgh Pirates Game Total OVER:
Games involving the Pirates have gone over this total in eight straight games. (+8.00 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -111
Cleveland Guardians Moneyline:
Cleveland is 9-1 in its last 10 road games. (+9.90 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: +141
Philadelphia Phillies Team Total OVER:
The Phillies have gone over this total in seven consecutive games at Citizens Bank Park. (+7.05 Units / 82% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -125