As we enter the final round of group stage games, ESPN examine what each of Africa's 10 World Cup qualifiers need to advance to the Last 32 of this expanded 48-team tournament.
Group A: South Africa
Mexico have already locked down top spot in Group A, so the best South Africa, Czechia and South Korea can each hope for is to advance automatically alongside the co-hosts as group runners-up. It will be South Africa if they beat South Korea and Czechia fail to beat Mexico, while even Czechia win could see Bafana Bafana through ahead of the European team in second place based on further tie breakers beyond head-to-head results (goal difference, goals scored, disciplinary).
Draw or a loss by Korea, and Czechia avoiding defeat against Mexico would surely condemn South Africa to the exit, while even failure to win would leave them all but eliminated regardless of the other result. If South Africa and Czechia both fail to win, then each of them could still finish third in the group - based on the above listed criteria - but it would take a remarkable scenario for two, let alone one, points to see them advance as one of the best third-placed teams.
Group C: Morocco
Morocco will top the group if they beat Haiti and Brazil fail to beat Scotland. Even a draw against already eliminated Haiti would guarantee them top two in the group, regardless of the result between Scotland and Brazil. If they lose against Haiti, then they could drop into third if Scotland also beat Brazil.
Although even then it would be a goal-difference battle between the Atlas Lions and the Selecao given the draw between them. Even if they drop into third place on four points, Morocco would still fancy their chances of advancing to the knockouts as one of the best placed third-placed teams.
Group E: Ivory Coast
Germany have already secured top spot in the group, but the Ivory Coast will join them in second place if they avoid defeat against Curacao in Philadelphia on Thursday. If Ivory Coast lose and Ecuador fail to beat Germany, the Elephants would still be in the running to progress as one of the best third-placed qualifiers on three points, while they could finish bottom of the group if they lose and Ecuador defeat Germany.
Group F: Tunisia
Already eliminated and guaranteed fourth position in the group, Tunisia are only playing for pride. If they lose to the Netherlands, they'd become only the eighth African side in history - and the first since Egypt in 2018 - to exit the World Cup without taking a single point.
Group G: Egypt
In pole position heading into the final matchday, where the Pharaohs will fancy their chances of dispatching Iran in Seattle to progress as group winners. This would set them up for a favourable (on paper) Last 32 draw against a third-placed team from another group. A win would be enough to guarantee first in the group, while they could still progress as group winners if they draw and Belgium fail to beat New Zealand while overcoming Egypt's superior goal difference (+2 vs 0 for Belgium).
If Egypt and Iran share the points and Belgium defeat New Zealand by three or more goals, the Pharaohs drop into second spot. Similarly, if Iran win and Belgium fail to beat New Zealand, Mohamed Salah and co would still progress automatically ahead of the Red Devils.
Group H: Cape Verde
Undefeated so far, Cape Verde have qualification in their own hands ahead of their final match with Saudi Arabia. If they beat the Asian side, they will qualify automatically, but whether that is in first or second position will depend on how many they score, the result between Spain and Uruguay, and potentially even the tiebreaker factors between the islanders and either of the two former winners.
If they draw, they'll still progress in second if Spain beat Uruguay or if the other match is a draw and Cape Verde can pip Uruguay on goals scored (currently one behind) and then other tiebreaker criteria. If they draw and Uruguay win, they would still be well placed to advance as one of the best third-placed teams with three points and a goal difference of zero.
Defeat by Saudi Arabia would surely lead to tournament elimination, either as one of the third-placed teams with only two points, or in fourth place in the group.
Group I: Senegal
With zero points so far, things are quite straightforward for Senegal ahead of their final group game against Iraq: they have to win. Three points are imperative for the Teranga Lions if they're to potentially advance to the knockouts as one of the best third-placed teams, while even a narrow victory may not be enough considering the West Africans currently have a minus three goal difference.
On the balance of probabilities, a 2-0 victory would likely be enough to take Senegal through, while a 1-0 win would not be enough, although the better the Lions' winning goal margin can be, the better their prospects of progression.
Group J: Algeria
Third-placed Algeria face second-placed Austria in the final round of group games, with the pair vying to progress alongside group-winners Argentina. A victory for the Fennecs takes them above Austria into second place, although considering the runners-up in Group J would face Spain in the Last 32, this may not be the reward it ostensibly appears to be. Instead, a draw surely sends both through, in which case Algeria would progress with four points and a minus two goal difference.
Group K: DR Congo
Despite being only on one point heading into this final group game, following Tuesday's 1-0 defeat by Colombia, the DRC can still qualify for the knockouts as they head into their final game against Uzbekistan. Essentially, the Leopards need to win, as a draw - leaving them with two points after three games - would likely not be enough to progress.
Regardless of the result in the other game between Portugal and Colombia, a win sees the Leopards into third place on four points, unless they and Colombia win - leaving both DRC and Portugal on four points - and there's a significant goal-difference swing. Heading into the final day, the DRC have a goal difference of -1, while Portugal are on +5 - so it would need to be a significant win for the Leopards and/or a heavy defeat for Cristiano Ronaldo and co for the Central Africans to jump into second place.
Group L: Ghana
On four points after two games following their heroic 0-0 draw with England in Boston on Tuesday, Ghana are well placed to progress regardless of the result in their final group game against Croatia.
If the Black Stars avoid defeat, they'll advance in the top two of the group, and could still win the group if they win and England fail to beat Panama in the group's other game. Ghana could also advance as group winners with a draw if Panama beat England, taking them officially back into the World Cup knockouts for the first time in 16 years.
