<
>

MLB betting tips for Wednesday: Will Padres bats wake up at Coors?

Can Fernando Tatis Jr. and the Padres score a ton of runs at Coors Field on Tuesday? AP

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz


Wednesday's top batter prop bets

Brenton Doyle | OVER 0.5 HR (+810)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.22 EV

Fernando Tatis Jr. | OVER 0.5 HR (+417)
Projection: 23% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.12 EV

Matt Chapman | OVER 0.5 RBI (+278)
Projection: 31% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.73 EV

Shea Langeliers | OVER 0.5 RBI (+217)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.93 EV

Gary Sanchez | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+118)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.13 EV

Wednesday's top pitcher prop bets

Shohei Ohtani | UNDER 6.5 K (+101)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.26 EV

Tomoyuki Sugano | UNDER 3.5 K (-154)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.86 EV

Braxton Ashcraft | UNDER 5.5 K (-117)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.63 EV

Peter Lambert | UNDER 4.5 K (-164)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.83 EV

Janson Junk | UNDER 2.5 ER (-120)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.59 EV

THE BAT X: Team Projections

Top betting trends

Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last season's play.

Athletics Moneyline:
The Athletics have won seven consecutive road games. (+9.95 Units / 142% ROI). Current odds: +159

New York Mets Team Total UNDER:
The Mets have gone under the team total in eight straight games. (+8.55 Units / 97% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -135

Boston Red Sox 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
Boston has gone under for this bet five consecutive times at home. (+5.30 Units / 79% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -120

Chicago White Sox Run Line:
The White Sox have won this bet in five straight road games. (+5.00 Units / 68% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -114

Colorado Rockies Run Line:
The Rockies have won this bet eight time in their last 10 home games. (+7.15 Units / 65% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -112