All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
Freddie Freeman | OVER 0.5 HR (+620)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.13 EV
Harrison Bader | OVER 0.5 HR (+1200)
Projection: 9% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.94 EV
Munetaka Murakami | OVER 0.5 RBI (+206)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.69 EV
Munetaka Murakami | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+116)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.41 EV
Matt Olson | UNDER 0.5 H (+189)
Projection: 42% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.72 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
Trevor Rogers | OVER 4.5 K (+106)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.44 EV
Michael King | OVER 2.5 ER (+124)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.41 EV
Sonny Gray | OVER 4.5 K (+110)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.17 EV
Seth Lugo | OVER 4.5 K (-119)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.93 EV
Shota Imanaga | UNDER 5.5 K (-112)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.03 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Chicago Cubs Moneyline:
The Cubs have won 15 consecutive games at Wrigley Field. (+15.00 Units / 66% ROI). Current odds: -167
Arizona Diamondbacks 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
Arizona has been under this total in nine straight home games. (+9.15 Units / 83% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -130
Boston Red Sox Team Total UNDER:
The Red Sox have gone under this total in eight consecutive contests. (+8.00 Units / 83% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -120
Tampa Bay Rays 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
The Rays have won this bet in seven straight games. (+7.25 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: -0.5 @ -105