All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Tuesday's top batter prop bets
Taylor Ward | OVER 0.5 HR (+810)
Projection: 13% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.84 EV
Coby Mayo | OVER 0.5 HR (+790)
Projection: 13% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.85 EV
Colson Montgomery | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+121)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.04 EV
Kyle Stowers | OVER 0.5 RBI (+239)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.82 EV
Tyrone Taylor | UNDER 0.5 H (+166)
Projection: 45% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.72 EV
Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets
Reid Detmers | OVER 6.5 K (-115)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $32.77 EV
Jacob Misiorowski | UNDER 7.5 K (-124)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.30 EV
Chase Burns | UNDER 6.5 K (-131)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.39 EV
Bryce Miller | UNDER 1.5 ER (-127)
Projection: 82% chance of this bet hitting, with a $59.73 EV
Nolan McLean | UNDER 5.5 K (+109)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.69 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
Baltimore Orioles Game Total OVER:
Games involving the Orioles on the road have gone over this line in 12 of the last 15 such games. (+9.80 Units / 59% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -107
New York Yankees Run Line:
A bet on the Yankees run line has won in eight of the past 10 home games. (+7.95 Units / 75% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ +101
New York Mets Team Total UNDER:
The Mets have scored fewer than their team total line in 12 of their past 15 road games. (+8.65 Units / 50% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +100
Milwaukee Brewers Run Line:
A bet on the Brewers run line has won in 12 of the past 20 games. (+7.65 Units / 34% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ +105
Los Angeles Angels Team Total UNDER:
The Angels have scored less than their team total line in seven straight games. (+7.50 Units / 100% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -120