All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Teoscar Hernandez | OVER 0.5 HR (+680)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.33 EV
Kyle Tucker | OVER 0.5 HR (+499)
Projection: 20% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.46 EV
Will Smith | OVER 0.5 RBI (+234)
Projection: 34% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.26 EV
Christian Vazquez | UNDER 0.5 H+R+RBI (+127)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.47 EV
Angel Martinez | UNDER 0.5 H (+157)
Projection: 45% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.01 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Cristopher Sanchez | UNDER 1.5 ER (-106)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.93 EV
Jameson Taillon | OVER 4.5 K (+100)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.16 EV
Connor Prielipp | UNDER 2.5 ER (-152)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.11 EV
Chris Bassitt | OVER 4.5 K (-127)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.37 EV
Noah Cameron | OVER 4.5 K (-109)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.21 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
Miami Marlins Game Total Over:
The Marlins game total over has hit in nine straight games. (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -105
Cleveland Guardians Moneyline:
A bet on the Guardians moneyline has hit in six straight games. (+6.70 Units / 99% ROI). Current odds: +153
Detroit Tigers Team Total Under:
The Tigers have gone under their team total in seven straight games. (+7.15 Units / 85% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ +105
Toronto Blue Jays Run Line:
Bets on the Blue Jays run line have landed in six straight games. (+6.50 Units / 73% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -118
Tampa Bay Rays 1st 5 innings (F5) Moneyline:
Bets on the Rays' first five innings moneyline have gone 7-0-3 over the last 10 games. (+7.20 Units / 58% ROI). Current odds: +130