MLB betting tips for Wednesday: Janson Junk leads best prop picks

Janson Junk of the Miami Marlins has 37 strikeouts this season. Julio Aguilar/Getty Images

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz


Wednesday's top batter prop bets

Drew Romo | OVER 0.5 HR (+1160)
Projection: 10% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.10 EV

Taylor Ward | OVER 0.5 HR (+640)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.03 EV

Austin Wells | OVER 0.5 RBI (+284)
Projection: 30% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.51 EV

Michael Helman | UNDER 0.5 H (+158)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.05 EV

Kyle Manzardo | UNDER 0.5 H (+134)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.48 EV

Wednesday's top pitcher prop bets

Janson Junk | UNDER 2.5 ER (+102)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.31 EV

Chris Sale | OVER 7.5 K (-104)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.62 EV

Shohei Ohtani | UNDER 7.5 K (-139)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.05 EV

Trey Yesavage | UNDER 5.5 K (-102)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.77 EV

THE BAT X: Team Projections

Top betting trends

Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.

Miami Marlins Game Total OVER:

The game total has gone over the line in seven straight games. (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI) Current odds: 7.5 @ -103

Detroit Tigers Team Total UNDER:

The Tigers have scored under their team total in seven straight home games. (+7.25 Units / 87% ROI) Current odds: 3.5 @ -125

San Diego Padres Run Line:

The Padres have covered their run line in five straight games. (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI) Current odds: 1.5 @ -126