All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
Paul Goldschmidt | OVER 0.5 HR (+760)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.97 EV
Joe Mack | OVER 0.5 HR (+1220)
Projection: 9% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.39 EV
Alec Burleson | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+133)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.45 EV
Patrick Bailey | UNDER 0.5 H (+135)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.11 EV
Luis Arraez | UNDER 1.5 TB (-135)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.71 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
Luis Castillo | OVER 2.5 ER (-106)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.83 EV
Nick Lodolo | OVER 4.5 K (-144)
Projection: 68% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.33 EV
Tanner Bibee | UNDER 2.5 ER (-143)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.06 EV
Landen Roupp | UNDER 2.5 ER (-166)
Projection: 71% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.87 EV
Trey Yesavage | UNDER 1.5 ER (+130)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.74 EV