All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
Juan Soto | OVER 0.5 HR (+351)
Projection: 27% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.19 EV
Juan Soto | OVER 0.5 RBI (+168)
Projection: 44% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.25 EV
Willy Adames | OVER 0.5 RBI (+239)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.21 EV
Brett Baty | OVER 0.5 RBI (+317)
Projection: 29% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.72 EV
Nick Madrigal | UNDER 1.5 TB (-201)
Projection: 75% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.95 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
Griffin Jax | UNDER 4.5 K (+110)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.73 EV
Emmet Sheehan | UNDER 5.5 K (-124)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.19 EV
Eduardo Rodriguez | UNDER 3.5 K (+119)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.00 EV
Kyle Freeland | OVER 4.5 K (-153)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.32 EV
Landen Roupp | OVER 5.5 K (-115)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.80 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
New York Mets Team Total UNDER:
The Mets have gone under this total in five consecutive road games. (+5.15 Units / 101% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -154
Seattle Mariners Moneyline:
Seattle is looking to extend their six-game winning streak. (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI). Current odds: -143
Chicago White Sox Moneyline:
The White Sox are working on a five-game winning streak. (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI). Current odds: +139
Kansas City Royals Team Total UNDER:
The Royals have been under this total in 12 of their last 15 contests. (+8.95 Units / 52% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -130
Washington Nationals Run Line:
Washington has won this bet in nine of the team's last 10 games. (+7.50 Units / 48% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -107
