MLB betting tips for Wednesday: Webb and Giants seek to stop Brewers' home streak

Logan Webb and the Giants hope they can be the ones to stop Milwaukee's home hot streak. Dustin Bradford/Getty Images

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


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Wednesday's top batter prop bets

Tyler Soderstrom | OVER 0.5 HR (+650)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.18 EV

Ronald Acuna Jr. | OVER 0.5 HR (+559)
Projection: 18% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.88 EV

Spencer Torkelson | OVER 0.5 RBI (+246)
Projection: 34% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.19 EV

George Springer | OVER 0.5 RBI (+229)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.17 EV

Isiah Kiner-Falefa | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+102)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.02 EV

Wednesday's top pitcher prop bets

Chase Burns | UNDER 6.5 K (+115)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.78 EV

Logan Webb | OVER 5.5 K (+119)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.18 EV

Payton Tolle | UNDER 1.5 ER (+122)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.80 EV

Michael Lorenzen | UNDER 4.5 K (-107)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.55 EV

Cristopher Sanchez | UNDER 7.5 K (-153)
Projection: 68% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.28 EV

THE BAT X: Team Projections

Top betting trends

Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.

New York Mets Team Total UNDER:
The Mets have been under this total in seven consecutive road games. (+7.15 Units / 93% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -135

Pittsburgh Pirates Game Total OVER:
The game total has hit the over in seven consecutive contests featuring Pittsburgh. (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -114

New York Yankees Team Total UNDER:
The Yankees have been under this total in five straight games at Yankee Stadium. (+5.10 Units / 82% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ +110

Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline:
The Brewers are looking to extend their current five-game home winning streak. (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI). Current odds: -156