All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Saturday's top batter prop bets
Sal Stewart | OVER 0.5 HR (+542)
Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.52 EV
David Hamilton | OVER 0.5 HR (+1160)
Projection: 10% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.21 EV
Jordan Lawlar | OVER 1.5 TB (+219)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.21 EV
Jahmai Jones | UNDER 0.5 H (+114)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.87 EV
Jacob Wilson | UNDER 1.5 TB (+109)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.82 EV
Saturday's top pitcher prop bets
Ben Brown | UNDER 4.5 K (+118)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.98 EV
Jose Soriano | UNDER 2.5 ER (-149)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.37 EV
Luis Castillo | OVER 2.5 ER (-106)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.30 EV
Martin Perez | OVER 2.5 ER (+125)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.18 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
Pittsburgh Pirates Game Total Over:
Pirates home games have gone over the total in 10 straight. (+10.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -110
Chicago White Sox Moneyline:
A bet on the White Sox moneyline at home has won eight in a row. (+8.85 Units / 95% ROI). Current odds: +169
St. Louis Cardinals Team Total Over:
The Cardinals' over has hit in nine straight games. (+9.15 Units / 83% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +100
Athletics Run Line:
Bets on the A's run line have been winners in five straight games. (+5.50 Units / 86% ROI). Current odds: -1.5 @ +104
Detroit Tigers Run Line:
The Tigers are 4-0-1 on the run line in their last five road games. (+4.00 Units / 49% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -125