MLB betting tips for Sunday: Back Soto's bat against the Braves

Juan Soto is in a favorable position against the Braves today. Steph Chambers/Getty Images

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz


Sunday's top batter prop bets

Luis Garcia | OVER 0.5 HR (+579)
Projection: 17% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.21 EV

Juan Soto | OVER 0.5 HR (+290)
Projection: 30% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.77 EV

Rafael Devers | OVER 0.5 RBI (+211)
Projection: 40% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.16 EV

Seiya Suzuki | OVER 0.5 RBI (+220)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.14 EV

Chandler Simpson | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+109)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.04 EV

Sunday's top pitcher prop bets

Cristopher Sanchez | UNDER 1.5 ER (+113)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.35 EV

Jeffrey Springs | UNDER 3.5 ER (+104)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.24 EV

Tomoyuki Sugano | UNDER 4.5 ER (-111)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.84 EV

Bryce Elder | UNDER 4.5 K (+104)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.12 EV

Will Warren | UNDER 2.5 ER (-146)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.60 EV

The BAT X: Team Projections

Top Betting Trends

St. Louis Cardinals Team Total OVER:
The Cardinals have gone over their team total in 10 straight games. (+10.15 Units / 83% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -105

Athletics Run Line:
The Athletics have won this bet in six straight games. (+6.65 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: -1.5 @ -104

San Diego Padres Game Total Over:
Six straight Padres games have gone over the total. (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 10 @ -107