All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Sunday's top batter prop bets
Carson Benge | OVER 0.5 HR (+930)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.56 EV
Alex Bregman | OVER 0.5 RBI (+318)
Projection: 30% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.53 EV
Weston Wilson | UNDER 0.5 H (-139)
Projection: 68% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.90 EV
Luis Arraez | UNDER 1.5 TB (-125)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.74 EV
Sunday's top pitcher prop bets
Logan Webb | UNDER 5.5 K (+117)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.42 EV
Logan Gilbert | UNDER 6.5 K (+118)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.01 EV
Chase Burns | UNDER 7.5 K (-153)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.09 EV
Payton Tolle | UNDER 2.5 ER (-156)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.06 EV
Reid Detmers | OVER 6.5 K (-107)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $7.66 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Miami Marlins Run Line:
This bet has won in seven straight games at LoanDepot Park. (+8.60 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -112
Minnesota Twins Team Total Over:
The Twins have gone over their team total in eight straight games. (+8.00 Units / 85% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -110
Cincinnati Reds Game Total Over:
The over has won in 14 of the past 20 Reds' road games. (+7.50 Units / 34% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -105
Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline:
The Blue Jays have won four of their past five games away from Toronto. (+3.35 Units / 64% ROI). Current odds: -122