All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Sunday's top batter prop bets
Sean Keys | OVER 0.5 HR (+740)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.61 EV
Daulton Varsho | OVER 0.5 HR (+526)
Projection: 20% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.14 EV
Nico Hoerner | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-103)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.25 EV
Cody Bellinger | OVER 0.5 RBI (+200)
Projection: 39% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.04 EV
Josh Naylor | UNDER 0.5 H (+173)
Projection: 41% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.75 EV
Sunday's top pitcher prop bets
Nolan McLean | UNDER 5.5 K (+123)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.11 EV
JP Sears | UNDER 4.5 K (-138)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.27 EV
Brandon Sproat | UNDER 4.5 K (-133)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.95 EV
Joe Ryan | UNDER 6.5 K (-103)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.38 EV
Casey Mize | UNDER 5.5 K (-138)
Projection: 65% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.08 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Minnesota Twins Game Total Over:
(away) 15 of last 20 (15-3-2) (+11.60 Units / 52% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -107
A bet on the over would have won in 15 of the past 20 Twins games away from Minneapolis.
New York Mets Team Total Under:
The Mets have scored under their pregame run total line in seven straight road games. (+7.20 Units / 82% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -125
Chicago Cubs Game Total Over:
A bet on the over would have won in 11 of the past 15 Cubs games. (+6.60 Units / 39% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -107
Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline:
The Brewers have won 14 of their past 20 road games. (+6.70 Units / 24% ROI). Current odds: -122
Detroit Tigers Run Line:
The Tigers have covered their run line in four of the past five games away from Comerica Park. (+3.75 Units / 57% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ +110