All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
Bobby Witt Jr. | OVER 0.5 HR (+640)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $2.86 EV
Kyle Schwarber | OVER 0.5 HR (+288)
Projection: 27% chance of this bet hitting, with a $3.29 EV
Austin Wells | OVER 0.5 RBI (+312)
Projection: 27% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.64 EV
Brett Baty | OVER 0.5 RBI (+288)
Projection: 29% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.22 EV
Dalton Rushing | UNDER 0.5 H (+135)
Projection: 47% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.93 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
Dustin May | OVER 4.5 K (+120)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.39 EV
Freddy Peralta | UNDER 5.5 K (-156)
Projection: 68% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.98 EV
Shane Drohan | UNDER 4.5 K (-159)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.30 EV
Reynaldo Lopez | OVER 2.5 ER (+103)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $5.66 EV
Landen Roupp | UNDER 2.5 ER (-152)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $4.64 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Tampa Bay Rays Run Line:
The Rays have won this bet in five consecutive home games. (+7.05 Units / 141% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ +126
St. Louis Cardinals Team Total UNDER:
The Cardinals have gone under this total in nine straight home contests. (+9.30 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -105
Arizona Diamondbacks Game Total UNDER:
Games involving Arizona have gone under this total in nine of the team's last 10 road games. (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -126
New York Mets Team Total UNDER:
The Mets have gone under this total in seven consecutive road games. (+7.20 Units / 82% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -140