All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
Dansby Swanson | OVER 0.5 HR (+450)
Projection: 23% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.59 EV
Manny Machado | OVER 0.5 HR (+523)
Projection: 21% chance of this bet hitting, with a $30.71 EV
Francisco Lindor | OVER 0.5 RBI (+267)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $34.14 EV
Jorge Polanco | OVER 0.5 RBI (+285)
Projection: 36% chance of this bet hitting, with a $37.91 EV
Ildemaro Vargas | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+111)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.29 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
Jacob Misiorowski | UNDER 8.5 K (+122)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.81 EV
Ronel Blanco | OVER 3.5 K (-134)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.84 EV
Andrew Alvarez | UNDER 4.5 K (-144)
Projection: 68% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.92 EV
Erick Fedde | OVER 3.5 K (+109)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.83 EV
Braxton Ashcraft | UNDER 6.5 K (-103)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.62 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Boston Red Sox Moneyline:
The Red Sox are seeking to extend their 13-game winning streak. (+13.40 Units / 84% ROI). Current odds: -149
New York Yankees Team Total UNDER:
The Yankees have gone under this total in 13 consecutive home games. (+13.30 Units / 84% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ +105
Texas Rangers Game Total OVER:
Games involving the Rangers have gone over this total in 10 straight contests. (+10.00 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -109
Atlanta Braves 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
The Braves have gone over this total in eight consecutive home games. (+8.20 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -135