All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Tuesday's top batter prop bets
Austin Riley | OVER 0.5 HR (+700)
Projection: 18% chance of this bet hitting, with a $46.08 EV
Teoscar Hernandez | OVER 0.5 RBI (+252)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.81 EV
Carson Kelly | UNDER 0.5 H (+193)
Projection: 42% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.65 EV
Liam Hicks | OVER 0.5 RBI (+263)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.65 EV
Freddie Freeman | OVER 0.5 RBI (+201)
Projection: 40% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.70 EV
Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets
Zack Wheeler | UNDER 6.5 K (+118)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.22 EV
Kevin Gausman | OVER 5.5 K (+106)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.44 EV
Drew Rasmussen | UNDER 4.5 K (-133)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.91 EV
Chase Burns | UNDER 6.5 K (+112)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.35 EV
Kohl Drake | UNDER 3.5 K (+115)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.42 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Boston Red Sox Moneyline:
The Red Sox are seeking to extend their 14-game winning streak. (+14.40 Units / 83% ROI). Current odds: -144
Texas Rangers Game Total OVER:
Games involving the Rangers have gone over this total in 11 straight contests. (+11.00 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -110
Baltimore Orioles Run Line:
The Orioles have won this bet in seven straight games. (+8.10 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -133
Pittsburgh Pirates 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
The Pirates have gone over this total in eight straight games. (+8.30 Units / 83% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -160