All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Taylor Ward | OVER 0.5 HR (+560)
Projection: 18% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.41 EV
Dansby Swanson | OVER 0.5 HR (+464)
Projection: 22% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.98 EV
Corey Seager | OVER 0.5 RBI (+248)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.63 EV
Kevin McGonigle | OVER 0.5 RBI (+247)
Projection: 34% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.98 EV
Chandler Simpson | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+120)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.09 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Michael Wacha | UNDER 4.5 K (+122)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $27.16 EV
Zebby Matthews | UNDER 5.5 K (-144)
Projection: 72% chance of this bet hitting, with a $31.00 EV
Jesus Luzardo | OVER 6.5 K (-104)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.62 EV
Martin Perez | OVER 4.5 K (+111)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.30 EV
Brandon Young | UNDER 3.5 K (+128)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.27 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
Pittsburgh Pirates Team Total OVER:
The Pirates have gone over this total in six straight games. (+6.30 Units / 97% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -125
Washington Nationals Run Line:
Washington have won this bet in six consecutive road contests. (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -134
Cleveland Guardians Moneyline:
The Guardians have gone 10-2 in their last 12 road games. (+7.75 Units / 71% ROI). Current odds: -137
Colorado Rockies Team Total OVER:
Colorado have gone over this total in six straight games. (+6.10 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -140