All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Matt McLain | OVER 0.5 HR (+690)
Projection: 17% chance of this bet hitting, with a $37.14 EV
Trent Grisham | OVER 0.5 HR (+508)
Projection: 22% chance of this bet hitting, with a $36.25 EV
Hao-Yu Lee | OVER 1.5 TB (+197)
Projection: 39% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.01 EV
Cedric Mullins | OVER 0.5 RBI (+199)
Projection: 39% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.81 EV
Lawrence Butler | OVER 0.5 RBI (+275)
Projection: 31% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.78 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Zebby Matthews | UNDER 5.5 K (-122)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.68 EV
Sonny Gray | UNDER 5.5 K (+105)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.45 EV
Luinder Avila | UNDER 4.5 K (-139)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.44 EV
Tanner Gordon | OVER 4.5 K (+119)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.41 EV
Braxton Ashcraft | UNDER 6.5 K (-141)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.53 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Washington Nationals 1st 5 innings (F5) Moneyline:
The Nationals have won this bet in 10 of their last 15 home games. (+5.95 Units / 30% ROI). Current odds: +120
Los Angeles Dodgers Team Total UNDER:
The Dodgers have gone under this total in four of their last five home games. (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +114
Houston Astros Team Total OVER:
Houston has gone over this total in four of their last five road games. (+2.90 Units / 49% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +105
Toronto Blue Jays Team Total UNDER:
Toronto has gone under this total in seven of their last 10 road games. (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -105