All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Saturday's top batter prop bets
Joshua Baez | OVER 0.5 HR (+700)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.96 EV
Mike Yastrzemski | OVER 1.5 TB (+273)
Projection: 34% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.45 EV
Griffin Conine | UNDER 0.5 H (+160)
Projection: 46% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.59 EV
Brett Callahan | UNDER 0.5 H (+145)
Projection: 48% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.51 EV
Luis Arraez | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+116)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.26 EV
Saturday's top pitcher prop bets
Kade Anderson | UNDER 1.5 ER (+125)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $31.67 EV
Dylan Cease | UNDER 8.5 K (+106)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $27.35 EV
Quinn Mathews | UNDER 4.5 K (+108)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.82 EV
Eury Perez | UNDER 6.5 K (-129)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.12 EV
Cody Bradford | OVER 4.5 K (-126)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.61 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Top Betting Trends
Atlanta Braves Team Total Under:
The Braves have gone under their team total in 13 straight road games. (+13.00 Units / 82% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -125
New York Yankees Run Line:
The Yankees have covered the run line in five straight games. (+6.60 Units / 108% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -154
Boston Red Sox Game Total Over:
Each of the last five Red Sox games have gone over the game total. (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -114
Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline:
The Phillies have won seven straight games. (+7.00 Units / 56% ROI). Current odds: -129
Los Angeles Angels Game Total Under:
Angels games have gone under the in 17 of the last 20. (+13.65 Units / 61% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -102