MLB betting tips for Sunday: Will Devers repeat his Fenway success?

Rafael Devers is a solid option to go over on RBI tonight at Fenway Park. Paul Rutherford-Imagn Images

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz


Sunday's top batter prop bets

Daulton Varsho | OVER 0.5 HR (+920)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.58 EV

Taylor Ward | OVER 0.5 HR (+690)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.84 EV

Bryce Eldridge | OVER 0.5 RBI (+237)
Projection: 34% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.06 EV

Rafael Devers | OVER 0.5 RBI (+249)
Projection: 33% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.69 EV

Griffin Conine | UNDER 0.5 H (+176)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $39.60 EV

Sunday's top pitcher prop bets

Lake Bachar | OVER 2.5 K (+127)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $58.17 EV

Yusei Kikuchi | OVER 4.5 K (-108)
Projection: 65% chance of this bet hitting, with a $27.53 EV

Janson Junk | OVER 3.5 K (+109)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.77 EV

Cristian Javier | OVER 4.5 K (+112)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.80 EV

Cristopher Sanchez | UNDER 1.5 ER (+101)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.73 EV

The Bat X: Team projections

Top Betting Trends

Atlanta Braves Team Total UNDER:
The Braves have gone under their team total in 14 straight away games. (14-0) (+14.00 Units / 82% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -120

New York Yankees Run Line:
The Yankees have won this bet in five straight games. (5-0) (+6.60 Units / 111% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ +103

San Diego Padres Moneyline:
The Padres have won this bet in seven straight home games. (7-0) (+7.20 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: -136