All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Thursday's top batter prop bets
Bo Bichette | OVER 0.5 RBI (+320)
Projection: 29% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.68 EV
Carson Benge | OVER 0.5 RBI (+303)
Projection: 29% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.27 EV
Turner Hill | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-137)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.47 EV
Jackson Holliday | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-105)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $7.38 EV
Coby Mayo | UNDER 0.5 H (+125)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.97 EV
Thursday's top pitcher prop bets
Spencer Arrighetti | OVER 3.5 K (-162)
Projection: 77% chance of this bet hitting, with a $40.55 EV
Jacob Misiorowski | UNDER 8.5 K (-103)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.87 EV
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | UNDER 6.5 K (-133)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $30.64 EV
Gerrit Cole | UNDER 5.5 K (+106)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.73 EV
Sean Manaea | UNDER 5.5 K (-154)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.18 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Baltimore Orioles Team Total OVER
Baltimore has gone over this total in 10 consecutive road games. (+10.30 Units / 95% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +110
Los Angeles Dodgers 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER
The Dodgers have gone over this total in eight straight games. (+8.15 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ +105
St. Louis Cardinals Game Total OVER
Games involving the Cardinals have gone over this total seven straight times. (+7.00 Units / 92% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -112
San Francisco Giants 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line
The Giants have won this bet five consecutive times at home. (+5.40 Units / 103% ROI). Current odds: -0.5 @ +110